Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 59.493836 66.515672 73.808006 81.928501 90.700118 99.871336 110.166966
2024-10-06 49.258195 59.695861 71.170058 84.637932 99.928906 116.667638 136.291697
2024-10-13 42.917867 55.033072 68.883065 85.720934 105.466106 127.716949 154.510699
2024-10-20 37.929087 51.136785 66.762431 86.339230 109.926883 137.149831 170.648235
2024-10-27 32.663884 46.242036 62.844477 84.242924 110.679575 141.860111 180.980383
2024-11-03 30.663897 45.159423 63.357066 87.339252 117.547226 153.770128 199.885911
2024-11-10 28.362177 43.425113 62.827058 88.947826 122.457755 163.266468 215.928333
2024-11-17 25.728324 40.988182 61.160969 88.902724 125.138540 169.935144 228.501154
2024-11-24 24.580385 40.472275 61.934246 91.961938 131.753528 181.536264 247.291736
2024-12-01 22.456801 38.386433 60.422690 91.849323 134.159474 187.784371 259.402947
2024-12-08 20.248706 35.986881 58.303944 90.755259 135.144784 192.135282 269.083924
2024-12-15 18.620960 34.315656 57.084526 90.782410 137.540083 198.264284 281.048904
2024-12-22 17.212137 32.907523 56.205189 91.294468 140.669731 205.513704 294.742501
2024-12-29 16.731236 32.934009 57.421696 94.807908 147.985320 218.420844 316.032024
2025-01-05 15.662328 31.910158 56.989412 95.886531 151.902288 226.822847 331.486262
2025-01-12 14.593435 30.792871 56.334912 96.576226 155.240327 234.454787 345.985557
2025-01-19 12.943599 28.533151 53.767958 94.292960 154.248260 236.135660 352.507460
2025-01-26 12.665519 28.659988 54.956197 97.661142 161.384419 248.992465 374.159592
2025-02-02 12.067106 28.157233 55.094559 99.409612 166.187011 258.684864 391.640489
2025-02-09 11.159373 27.004968 54.104212 99.360609 168.332201 264.694135 404.163879
2025-02-16 10.950518 27.156404 55.268395 102.684293 175.484850 277.768016 426.473266
2025-02-23 10.135061 26.063889 54.278960 102.561983 177.493751 283.624166 438.918170
2025-03-02 9.205630 24.657703 52.670502 101.373571 177.844050 287.101785 448.080363